Comments on: Cognitive Biases series: Disjunction effects http://coreedges.com/blog/2009/02/09/cognitive-biases-series-disjunction-effects/ Thu, 08 Sep 2011 02:40:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: 7ygy http://coreedges.com/blog/2009/02/09/cognitive-biases-series-disjunction-effects/comment-page-1/#comment-284 7ygy Thu, 08 Sep 2011 02:40:00 +0000 http://www.macroprinciples.com/2009/02/cognitive-biases-series-disjunction-effects/#comment-284 Here's my hypothesis for why people decide as they do in the prisoner's dilemma experiment: If you DON'T know the decision of the opponent, you mentally equate that with the opponent not having made his/her decision yet, whether or not this is actually so. So you decide to be nice because it seems like he/she still has 'power'. In particular you feel that there's a high chance of the opponent choosing the same option as you, in which case cooperating is clearly better. On the other hand if you DO know his/her decision, the decision has of course already been made, and they have no such power. Here’s my hypothesis for why people decide as they do in the prisoner’s dilemma experiment:

If you DON’T know the decision of the opponent, you mentally equate that with the opponent not having made his/her decision yet, whether or not this is actually so. So you decide to be nice because it seems like he/she still has ‘power’. In particular you feel that there’s a high chance of the opponent choosing the same option as you, in which case cooperating is clearly better. On the other hand if you DO know his/her decision, the decision has of course already been made, and they have no such power.

]]> By: Quantum Thinking « simsphere http://coreedges.com/blog/2009/02/09/cognitive-biases-series-disjunction-effects/comment-page-1/#comment-283 Quantum Thinking « simsphere Mon, 05 Sep 2011 14:18:18 +0000 http://www.macroprinciples.com/2009/02/cognitive-biases-series-disjunction-effects/#comment-283 [...] Disjunction Effect, a term I vaguely recall skimming in a psychology textbook. Occurs when a person prefers option A over B if event E is known to have occurred or not; and B over A when the outcome of event E is unknown. This might explains why people seem so fascinating until you sleep with them. [...] […] Disjunction Effect, a term I vaguely recall skimming in a psychology textbook. Occurs when a person prefers option A over B if event E is known to have occurred or not; and B over A when the outcome of event E is unknown. This might explains why people seem so fascinating until you sleep with them. […]

]]> By: Uservoice improves its pricing structure, yet keeps negative thresholds effects - Macro Principles http://coreedges.com/blog/2009/02/09/cognitive-biases-series-disjunction-effects/comment-page-1/#comment-105 Uservoice improves its pricing structure, yet keeps negative thresholds effects - Macro Principles Wed, 11 Feb 2009 01:01:46 +0000 http://www.macroprinciples.com/2009/02/cognitive-biases-series-disjunction-effects/#comment-105 [...] Disjunction effects for example are at play here. If clients don’t know which plan they might need, a significant part of them will just wait for a hypothetical prediction that will never come, and some will end up not using the service or signing up with competitors. [...] […] Disjunction effects for example are at play here. If clients don’t know which plan they might need, a significant part of them will just wait for a hypothetical prediction that will never come, and some will end up not using the service or signing up with competitors. […]

]]> By: Louis-Pierre http://coreedges.com/blog/2009/02/09/cognitive-biases-series-disjunction-effects/comment-page-1/#comment-242 Louis-Pierre Tue, 10 Feb 2009 19:26:32 +0000 http://www.macroprinciples.com/2009/02/cognitive-biases-series-disjunction-effects/#comment-242 Making a decision needs courage.<br><br>Worrying too much won’t do any good, mostly because it can swallow up your courage and leave you with nothing else than an empty soul and shaky hands. <br><br>LPG Making a decision needs courage.

Worrying too much won’t do any good, mostly because it can swallow up your courage and leave you with nothing else than an empty soul and shaky hands.

LPG

]]> By: Louis-Pierre http://coreedges.com/blog/2009/02/09/cognitive-biases-series-disjunction-effects/comment-page-1/#comment-104 Louis-Pierre Tue, 10 Feb 2009 13:26:32 +0000 http://www.macroprinciples.com/2009/02/cognitive-biases-series-disjunction-effects/#comment-104 Making a decision needs courage.<br><br>Worrying too much won’t do any good, mostly because it can swallow up your courage and leave you with nothing else than an empty soul and shaky hands. <br><br>LPG Making a decision needs courage.

Worrying too much won’t do any good, mostly because it can swallow up your courage and leave you with nothing else than an empty soul and shaky hands.

LPG

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