Futures exchanges rubbing elbows
While The Economist reports on the being-negotiated CME-NYMEX deal, it also reports on the competitive landscape among futures exchanges.
Namely, a field with significant barriers to entry, successfully preserved, ensuring inertia in the order flows, and recognized by investors:
Some customers fear that the CME will start to raise trading fees once it has swallowed its rivals. This worry is particularly acute in a business in which barriers to entry are much higher than in cash equities, where nimble electronic trading networks have helped to hammer down commissions. Most attempts to poach futures business have been quickly repelled, except when an online exchange has targeted an inefficient “open outcry†market, as InterContinental Exchange did when nabbing oil futures from NYMEX before the latter went electronic. With the CME already a leader in screen trading, it looks all but unassailable.[…]
Largely because they are so hard to budge, derivatives exchanges tend to trade at much higher multiples than markets that deal mostly in stocks.
Within this environment, one could expect an ossified marketplace, with players competing mainly on scale and leveraging fees within their kingdom (their citizens mostly trapped inside). Coherent with the CME objective to conquer and establish more kingdoms:
“Their strategy seems fairly simple: be in all products in all markets,†says Craig Abruzzo, co-head of listed derivatives at Morgan Stanley.
But exploiting the old, dying, competitive paradigm doesn’t prevent the CME from innovating in the new one.
The crisis may help exchanges in another way, by highlighting the opacity and illiquidity of some OTC instruments. The CME, for instance, is pushing new clearing services for swaps, currencies and even credit derivatives—until recently the exclusive preserve of broker-dealers charging fat fees for a “bespoke†service. Among the advantages of this hybrid model, argues Kim Taylor, the exchange’s head of clearing, are daily marking to market (“so losses can’t accumulate undetectedâ€), ease of selling and less chance of not being paid, since the exchange acts as counterparty to both sides of the trade.
Being able to successfully compete, in parallel, within the old and new paradigms is pretty remarkable for such a corporation.
Source: The Economist — January 31st 08
by Julien Le Nestour